Analysis of the emerging ‘machine economy’ where AI-driven firms operate with minimal human labor, reshaping markets and economic structures.
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AI Governance
144 posts
The OAuth Permission Apocalypse.
Analysis of the recent Vercel breach reveals OAuth permission misconfigurations as a major security risk, akin to SQL injection, with widespread implications.
The Defender’s Counter-Cascade.
On May 11, 2026, Google disclosed the first confirmed use of an AI-built zero-day exploit, highlighting the deployment gap in AI-driven cybersecurity defenses.
The Compounding Error Problem — Why 99.9% Alignment Decays to 60% in 500 Generations
Analysis of how 99.9% alignment accuracy drops significantly over multiple AI generations, raising concerns for recursive self-improvement safety.
The 90-Day Window Closed. Nobody Sent a Notice.
The 90-day coordinated disclosure period for a critical security patch has closed without any notices from vendors or attackers, raising concerns about new vulnerabilities.
The Co-Founder’s Black Hole — A Structural Read on Jack Clark’s Automated AI R&D Essay
Jack Clark predicts over 60% chance of autonomous AI R&D by 2028, highlighting a structural threshold akin to a black hole where predictability fails.
Every Benchmark Launched 2023-2024 Has Fallen — The METR / SWE-Bench / CORE-Bench / MLE-Bench / PostTrainBench Sequence
Every major AI research benchmark launched in 2023-2024 has either saturated or is nearing saturation within months, signaling accelerated AI capability development.
The Skills Marketplace, Six Months Later: Predicted vs Actual
An analysis of the skills marketplace six months after predictions, highlighting growth, structural realities, and remaining uncertainties.
Jack Clark Says It Out Loud — Reading the Co-Founder’s 60%/2028 Estimate on Automated AI R&D
Anthropic’s co-founder Jack Clark states a 60% probability that autonomous, self-improving AI systems could emerge by 2028, signaling significant policy implications.
The Compute Concentration Audit: When Sovereign Wealth Funds Notice Three Companies Own the Frontier
Global regulators are investigating the dominance of AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud in AI compute infrastructure, impacting industry and investment strategies.